LNG Pacific Expansion - Stress-testing Mexican plus US Gulf Supplies

Check out the full detailed analysis here

It is fairly well known that diversification reduces risk. But did you know that X-LNG can help you to quantifiably assess the risk of your LNG portfolio? In this case study, two portfolios are compared, both with demand positions in Europe and Asia. The difference is that one has supply only from the US Gulf and the other is more diversified to include supply from Mexico (Costa Azul).

Two portfolios with different degrees of diversification

Portfolio 1: US Gulf-only Supply

Supply (2025):

·       US Gulf (Sabine Pass), 80 cargos

Demand (2025):

·       EU (Gate), spot

·       JKTC (Futtsu), spot

Fleet:

·     7 × 174k vessels

Portfolio 2: US Gulf and Mexican supply

Supply (2025):

·       US Gulf (Sabine Pass), 60 cargos

·       Mexico (Costa Azul), 20 cargos

Demand (2025):

·       EU (Gate), spot

·       JKTC (Futtsu), spot

Fleet:

·     7 × 174k vessels

How should a portfolio manager decide between the two portfolios?

This case study finds out that Mexico is a strategic location for fulfilling Asian demand positions, as it is not affected by the accessibility of the Panama Canal and is geographically closer to the JKTC region.

 

Therefore, a diversified Atlantic and Pacific portfolio can better fulfil both European and Asian demand positions due to higher geographical flexibility, while mitigating the impact of shipping uncertainties such as canal closures.

LNG Pacific Expansion - Stress-testing Mexican plus US Gulf Supplies

Check out the full detailed analysis here

It is fairly well known that diversification reduces risk. But did you know that X-LNG can help you to quantifiably assess the risk of your LNG portfolio? In this case study, two portfolios are compared, both with demand positions in Europe and Asia. The difference is that one has supply only from the US Gulf and the other is more diversified to include supply from Mexico (Costa Azul).

Two portfolios with different degrees of diversification

Portfolio 1: US Gulf-only Supply

Supply (2025):

·       US Gulf (Sabine Pass), 80 cargos

Demand (2025):

·       EU (Gate), spot

·       JKTC (Futtsu), spot

Fleet:

·     7 × 174k vessels

Portfolio 2: US Gulf and Mexican supply

Supply (2025):

·       US Gulf (Sabine Pass), 60 cargos

·       Mexico (Costa Azul), 20 cargos

Demand (2025):

·       EU (Gate), spot

·       JKTC (Futtsu), spot

Fleet:

·     7 × 174k vessels

How should a portfolio manager decide between the two portfolios?

This case study finds out that Mexico is a strategic location for fulfilling Asian demand positions, as it is not affected by the accessibility of the Panama Canal and is geographically closer to the JKTC region.

 

Therefore, a diversified Atlantic and Pacific portfolio can better fulfil both European and Asian demand positions due to higher geographical flexibility, while mitigating the impact of shipping uncertainties such as canal closures.

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